Pharma Strategy Blog

Past American Urological Association (AUA) meetings have seen a lot of same old, same old with very little that is new in the way of truly innovative and exciting new developments.  In many ways, prostate cancer is the male equivalent of ovarian cancer, with pharma companies considering it after the breast, lung and colorectal cancers, despite prostate cancer being fairly large in terms in epidemiology, from a pure numbers perspective.

Why is this?

Firstly, we need to consider the natural course of the disease, which unlike breast and lung cancers, is fairly indolent.  Men diagnosed early with prostate cancer can live for 10-15 years, often with long periods of watchful waiting, making adjuvant trials necessarily long ones.

Secondly, once hormonal therapy begins to enable castration and reduction in the levels of testosterone that drives the cancer's growth, patients are seen and managed by urologists, who prefer to treat with oral therapies.  Until recently, Pharma focused very much on intravenous infusions designed for oncologists and never the twain really met in the middle.

Thirdly, traditional drug development for chemotherapy begins in the latest stage of treatment after failure of existing therapies (typically 2nd or 3rd+ line) and moves earlier up the disease stage in a classic niche by niche development strategy.

These factors combine to essentially create 3 distinct, albeit crude, phases of treatment for prostate cancer:

1. Watchful waiting
2. Androgen deprivation therapy (ADT)
3. Chemotherapy for stage IV metastatic disease

How are things changing?

Dendreon recently received approval for their autologous cell vaccine, sipuleucel-T (Provenge) in asymptomatic metastatic castration resistant disease, meaning that in men where hormonal therapies cease to work but have some early evidence of metastatic disease, now have a completely new and relatively non-toxic therapeutic option prior to chemotherapy with Taxotere, mitoxantrone or even prednisone.

Much has been written about the potential for vaccines earlier in the disease when the tumour burden is much lower, so hopefully we will see some future exploration in this area now that the proof of concept for the first commercial cancer vaccine exists and Dendreon will have more funds to reinvest in R&D as revenues are generated.  They have a real opportunity here.

Past studies with docetaxel (Taxotere) have shown an improved survival benefit of 2.4 months over prednisone alone in androgen independent (hormone refractory) population that was essentially symptomatic.  Two phase III Provenge studies reported a median survival benefit of 4.1 and 4.5 months respectively, meaning that 50% of the men did better and 50% did worse than 4-4.5 months. 

There are now at least 8 other compounds in phase III development for the treatment of advanced prostate cancer.  One of these, sanofi-aventis' cabazitaxel (Jevtana) has already been filed and DDMAC review is expected in the summer, meaning the drug could possibly get approval in the 2nd-line setting after Taxotere by September in an area of high unmet need since there are few options available in this setting.  The data is expected to be presented at ASCO next week, so more on that then.

So now we have two potential therapeutic options before and after Taxotere in 2010 alone, which is progress indeed.

What other compounds are there?

There are a number of agents that I like. Cougar and J&J's abiraterone is probably the most advanced. It is an inhibitor of 17,20 lyase that essentially throttle testesterone production in the testes and adrenal glands.  Millennium-Takeda also have a similar compound in earlier development called TAK700.  The two appear to differ in that one is steroidal and the other is non-steroidal, but whether this will make any meaningful difference isn't yet clear.  Time will tell.  

The abiraterone trials are not scheduled to complete until mid 2011 at the earliest, so assuming the data is positive, approval likely won't happen until the 2nd half of 2012, giving Dendreon a two year commercial advantage over the competition, who are mostly testing their compounds in the post Taxotere setting, at least initially.

Perhaps the most exciting agent from a biology perspective is MDV3100 from Medivation/Astellas, which I have written extensively about in past blog posts.  Essentially, the current androgen blockers are fairly ineffective at controlling aggressive disease so a more complete inhibitor of the Androgen Receptor (AR) may offer a better chance of making an impact.  Medivation have quickly realised that their real opportunity may well be either after hormonal therapies, in combination with them, or perhaps even in place of them earlier in the disease and have announced several new phase II and III trials will commence later this year.  Astellas have significant advantage over J&J as a partner since they already have a strong urology franchise, which is vitally important going forward.

Several other therapies interest me too, but they will be the subject of another blog post later during this meeting as the mutations and critically expressed pathways as the disease progresses may well drive future therapeutic interventions.