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Back from Milan and ESMO 2010, I thought it would be a good idea to quick a final quick overview of some of the early data from phase II trials that look interesting and might be worth watching as the research evolves (in no particular order).

1. Addition of cetuximab to cisplatin increased survival in triple negative breast cancer

Jose Baselga presented the results of a multi-centre randomised trial (from Spain, Belgium, Austria, Portugal, the UK and Israel) that compared the combination of cetuximab (Erbitux) with cisplatin versus cisplatin alone in 173 women with triple negative breast cancer (TNBC).

Although the overall response rate (ORR) trended in favour of the combination (20.0 vs 10.3%), the result did not meet the pre-specified assumptions. Interestingly though, the progression-free survival (PFS) showed a significant improvement with the addition of cetuximab (3.7 vs 1.5 months, P<0.03). Two months doesn't seem much, but in an advanced, highly aggressive disease, it may represent a disproportionally large improvement.

I'm not sure why cisplatin was chosen as a comparator, especially as TNBC is a particularly hard subset to treat, but the trial is ongoing to determine overall survival and a phase III study will likely evolve to determine if the results are repeatable in a larger population.

2. GSK2118436 in advanced melanoma with brain mets looks promising in a phase I/II study

By promising, I mean this was a very small cohort of patients who saw some early and unexpected evidence of tumour shrinkage in brain mets that had evolved from primary melanoma. The scans shown by the presenter, Georgina Long, from the Melanoma Institute Australia and Westmead Hospital in Sydney actually gave me goosebumps and it wasn't the chill in the room. You just don't expect to see such noticeable shrinkage with a single agent in this setting because this is a horrid, aggressive disease that has a nasty tendency to metastasize easily.

What was interesting about this study is that GSK2118436 is a BRAF inhibitor that also specifically targets V600E, similarly to Plexxikon/Roche's PLX4032. In both cases, they bind to the protein and shut down signaling activity. Although the trial is very early, since it looked at 3 different cohorts, the small subset with brain mets (n=10) were what caught everyone in the audience's attention, although good responses were also seen in the advanced melanoma group without brain mets.

To put the results in context, all 10 patients experienced some control of their brain mets, with 9 of the 10 patients having reductions in the overall size of their tumours. The overall reductions ranged from 20-100% of brain metastases that were 3mm or larger in diameter before treatment.

That just doesn't happen with advanced melanoma with brain mets… at least, I've never seen such dramatic responses before.

The big questions for me are how long will the responses be durable before resistance sets in and how soon is a larger scale trial going to get up and running? This is a very promising and most unexpected development that is worth following.

Dr Long summed it up very nicely:

“The ability to inhibit oncogenic BRAF is the most important development in the history of drug treatment of melanoma.”

3. ARQ-197 continues to show positive results in NSCLC

In this presentation, the final results of the phase II trial in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) were discussed. We've covered this promising agent, ARQ-197 (ArQule/Daiichi Sankyo), a small molecule c-MET inhibitor, before on this blog.

A final analysis looked at the complete results in more depth. Patients treated with ARQ 197 plus erlotinib (Tarceva) developed new metastases in a median time of 7.3 months compared with 3.6 months for patients treated with erlotinib plus placebo.

What I found interesting in this study was that this effect was more pronounced among patients with non-squamous (NS) histology, since the median time to develop new metastases was 11.0 months in the ARQ 197 plus erlotinib arm compared to 3.6 months for those treated with the control arm (erlotinib plus placebo). I'm not sure why the NS over squamous histology should matter, but they clearly benefitted more.

The sponsors, ArQule and Daiichi Sankyo, have announced that they plan to pursue a phase III trial in this setting. It would, however, be nice to see an analysis of any lung biopsies collected to see if there are any relevant biomarkers that would explain the differences in histology and responders, otherwise many physicians may see this as an incremental improvement, if confirmed in a larger trial. Were thre any differences in people who were EGFR mutation or MET positive, for example?

There was certainly some energetic discussion in the Q&A, with tough questions asked of the speaker regarding why go ahead with a phase III study given a small benefit and why use OS when PFS is small and complicated by crossover, all very fair questions. Like many, I'd really like to see more granular analysis of who is responding to this agent and why before rushing into a phase III trial that may see a disappearing of any positive signal when investigator bias is eliminated in a larger randomised trial.

4. METMAB showed promising results in a subset of lung cancer patients

In the same session, David Spiegel presented the data from a phase II study with a different c-MET inhibitor. Here, patients with advanced NSCLC (n=128) were randomly assigned to receive either erlotinib plus METMAb (Roche/Genentech), a monoclonal antibody that binds specifically to the MET receptor on cancer cells or a control arm (erlotinib plus placebo).

The reason for the interest in c-MET inhibitors is that MET activation has been implicated in the resistance of lung cancers to EGFR inhibitors such as erlotinib. The big question is therefore whether a combination of the two would overcome resistance or not, thereby prolonging life.

In this study, participants were tested for mutations in the EGFR gene and also for expression of MET in tumour samples. 

The results were interesting – 51% of patients whose tumours expressed MET and those who received METMAb plus erlotinib had better OS and longer PFS than those who received erlotinib plus placebo.

Furthermore, in the subset of MET+ patients, adding METMAb to erlotinib nearly halved the risk of disease progression or death during the study compared to those treated with erlotinib plus placebo. In addition, patients whose tumours did not express MET protein appeared to do worse when treated with the METMAb/erlotinib combination, suggesting that the biomarker may be able to determine who is more likely to respond to therapy.

This is good news if it is repeatable in a phase III trial and show durable efficacy with good tolerability, because then potentially, oncologists would be able to screen and preselect patients for treatment with METMab rather than expose all patients to the systemic side effects without hope of it working.

Last but not least, there was some updated information on the novel trastuzumab-DM1 (T-DM1) combination therapy (Roche/Genentech).

4. T-DM1 continues to show solid results in metastatic breast cancer

Edith Perez presented the results of a phase II study looking at first line treatment with a new combination agent, trastuzumab-DM1 or T-DM1, in metastatic breast cancer.

As far as I know, T-DM1 is the first of a new type of cancer therapy known as an antibody-drug conjugate. Basically, it binds together two existing cancer drugs with the aim of delivering both drugs specifically to cancer cells, ie trastuzumab (Herceptin), an approved monoclonal antibody that targets the protein HER2 and DM1, a chemotherapy agent that targets microtubules. The goal of the new combination is too see if cardiotoxicity, a common problem associated with standard anthracycline therapy, is reduced and if efficacy is subsequently improved.

Women with breast cancer were randomised to treatment with either trastuzumab plus the chemotherapy drug docetaxel, or T-DM1. All 137 participants had HER2-positive metastatic cancer, with no prior chemotherapy for their metastatic disease.

The good news is that the early results demonstrated that T-DM1 has good anti-tumour activity as well as much lower toxicity when evaluated side by side to standard therapy.

After a median of approx 6 months of follow up, the overall response rate of in women who received T-DM1 was 48% compared with 41% in the control arm (trastuzumab plus docetaxel). The rates of clinically relevant adverse events were also significantly lower in the T-DM1 arm (37%) compared to the rate in women given traztuzumab plus docetaxel (75%).

Overall, I think the slight improvement in ORR was more than compensated by the dramatic improvement in side effects, which ultimately affect a patient's quality of life when undergoing cancer treatment. According to my chicken scratch notes from the session, cardiotoxicity and myelosuppression were both much improved in the T-DM1 arm over standard therapy.

Perez noted that the final analysis of the PFS data is expected in 2Q 2011, which I'm sure will be eagerly awaited based on the encouraging early data, although feeling better is one thing, but ultimately the sine qua non is will the women live longer?

All in all, I'm glad I trekked all the way to Milan for ESMO. There was more positive and promising early data than expected and aside from the repetitive blister walks, it was an enjoyable event. It was also nice to catch up with some friends in person and meet several readers of this blog who kindly came up and introduced themselves – I hope you all enjoyed the conference as much as I did!

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As with previous meetings, I'm aggregating the ASCO tweets using three key hashtags: 

#asco10 (the official twitter hashtag) 

#asco2010 (some people are using this) 

#ascopress (for press alerts)

The stream should be live as of 3pm CST and will run for the duration of the meeting until COB on Tuesday:


Ready, Steady, Go!

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Back in February, I took a big picture look at some of the cancer drugs in development that might be reviewed by the FDA for approval in 2009.

You can see the review here.

Of the eight drugs that were highlighted in the post, all were discussed by ODAC, so that was a positive sign.  Five (Afinitor in RCC, Folotyn and Istodax in t-cell lymphomas, pazopanib in RCC and Arzerra in CLL) all passed the final hurdle, receiving a positive FDA opinion, while others (clofarabine, trabectedin and denosumab) were less lucky and issues associated with the filings are still being discussed.  The EU CHMP has issued a positive opinion for Prolia (denosumab) but the FDA seem less convinced so far and issued a complete response letter requesting further information before giving approval.  Amgen seem confident of addressing these issues, so we may well seen a green light soon.

While Genzyme and Amgen should be able to resolve the concerns successfully and will likely obtain FDA approval in 2010, J&J may well be left at the altar again with Yondelis.  The drug was approved in Europe for soft tissue sarcomas, but approval in ovarian cancer is being sought in the US and ODAC had major issues with the trials and the risk-benefit trade-off.  Time will tell what will happen in 2010.

AstraZeneca have not had a lot of luck with their pipeline since the infamous Iressa troubles.  This year, they withdrew their filing for Zactima, a combination VEGF/EGFR inhibitor with limited efficacy over existing therapies.  It will be interesting to see if they rebound in 2010.

The most promising robust oncology pipelines at the moment are probably those of Roche/Genentech, Novartis and Pfizer.  Merck, BMS and GSK also have some interesting solid bets in their pipelines, but are not renowned for their speed of R&D and marketing in oncology compared to the other three, who are much more aggressive and focused in their resources and efforts.

W2W4 (what to watch for) in 2010?

That's the big question I'm getting in my email bag this month.

2010 is going to be an interesting year for CML patients, who will see a lot of new activity.  ChemGenex filed omacetaxine for T315i mutations and treatment in patients who had failed existing TKI therapy. They have an ODAC in February and based on the data presented at ASH this month, I think they have a good chance of approval.

Novartis and BMS are both expected to submit an NDA to both the FDA and EMEA for approval of nilotinib and dasatinib respectively, in newly diagnosed CML.  The nilotinib data was presented at ASH and clearly showed a 12 month efficacy benefit over imatinib, the current standard of care.  We are still awaiting the dasatinib vs. imatinib data, hopefully it will be presented at either ASCO or EHA.  My guess is that we may well see approvals for both drugs in the front-line setting in 2010.  

The biggest challenge both companies may well have though, is not getting approval per se from the EMEA, but rather getting past NICE in the UK given the disparity in price with imatinib, when 60-70% of patients do well on the drug and attain a complete cytogenetic response at 18 months.  Currently, NICE has declined to approve the second generation TKI's even in the relapse/refractory/resistance setting, so that does not augur well for the frontline setting.

Genzyme will likely have data from randomised trials with clofarabine in elderly AML in 2010, which means that approval may well be possible if the data is positive.

Cell Therapeutics presented data at ASH on pixantrone in 3rd line NHL, with evidence of activity.  This drug will be another candidate for approval and the ODAC is currently scheduled for April, according to the company.

Ariad, a biotech based in Boston, have two promising agents in development.  Ridaforolimus is an mTOR being developed in soft tissue sarcomas with Merck in the second line setting.  I think this agent is promising, but the placebo controlled trial design in a heterogeneous disease where some subsets respond well to therapy and some are insensitive makes me nervous what the final phase III results will bring.  In such an allcomers trial, you run the risk that the responders will be drowned out by the non-responders. Of course, screening out subsets in a fairly uncommon disease makes for slower accrual and time to market so the risk is a high one.  What I do know is that KOL's I spoke to who participated in the trial noted that those patients who did respond tended to do very well in a heavily pretreated setting.  We should know by ASCO whether Ariad's big play paid off or not. 

Ariad also have a interesting agent in development for CMl, which targets the T315i mutation, currently a gap not met by the current TKI's approved on the market.  Given my interest in CML, this is a new agent worth following.  The early phase I data presented by Dr Cortes from MD Anderson at ASH this month looked very encouraging indeed.

Dendreon's Provenge is always a controversial topic on this blog.  I'm not going to make any predictions about the vaccine this time other than to say it will be fascinating to see what happens next year!  It's been somewhat of a roller coaster ride so far and I suspect that trend will continue in 2010.  

J&J and Cougar's abiraterone may have enough data in prostate cancer by ASCO mid year to determine if they have enough evidence for a filing too.  If so, it could be an interesting year in prostate cancer given very little new therapies have made any headway in the middle to advanced settings in extending hormone sensitivity and delaying time to progression to metastases.  If either of these drugs can achieve that lofty goal, it will be very good news indeed.  

Medivation also have a novel compound (MDV-3100) in much earlier development, so while the others test the regulatory waters, we can see how the new partnership evolves with Astellas.

Two other compounds I'm watching are Novartis' Antisoma compound, ASA404, in lung cancer and ipilimumab in melanoma and prostate cancer from BMS.  Both of these agents have shown early signs of efficacy, so data at ASCO may well tell us whether they look like showing real promise or turning into duds.

This year saw the evolution into the limelight from the PARP inhibitors, most noticeably sanofi-aventis and BiPar's BSI-201 in triple negative breast cancer and AstraZeneca and KuDos's AZD2281 in BRCA1 and 2 mutated cancers such as breast and ovarian.  I'm really looking forward to seeing the latest data at ASCO in June 2010 after following their progress at ASCO and AACR this year.  

So of all the new pipeline drugs mentioned in this post, what is particularly compelling?  I'm probably most excited by the PARP inhibitors and ASA-404, all of which have a real chance to stand out from the crowd.  We'll see this time next year whether that turns out to be a good prediction or not!

Further updates of interesting compounds in development will continue o
n this blog next year.

Of course, if anyone has any other favourites they're following in oncology, please add them in the comments or drop me an email.  We'd love to hear what others think.

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